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Richmond Tigers vs Carlton Blues Tips - Blues hand the young cubs a lesson
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- Richmond Tigers vs Carlton Blues expert predictions for Thursday’s Round 1 AFL game
- The game will be played at MCG, with the bounce at 7:30 PM (AEDT)
- Tigers are in rebuilding mode with a youthful squad averaging 23.9 years.
- Brodie Kemp anticipated to perform strongly in Charlie Curnow's absence.
Why Kemp has a big one for Carlton.
Richmond Tigers vs Carlton Blues, Round 1 2025 - Expert Prediction
The Carlton Blues will register a commanding win over the young Tiger cubs, covering the 50+ line in the opening match of the season for both clubs.
- Richmond Tigers vs Carlton Blues, Round 1 2025 - Expert Prediction
- Head to Head
- Richmond Tigers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Recent Form
- Richmond Tigers Team News
- Richmond Tigers Team List
- Carlton Blues Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Carlton Blues Team News
- Carlton Blues Team List
- Richmond Tigers vs Carlton Blues AFL 2025 Round 1 FAQ’s
Carlton finished the season poorly in 2024, limping into the Finals to be knocked out by eventual premiers Brisbane. The Blues are still carrying injuries heading into the opening rounds of the season, however, they still have plenty of talent that can do a lot of damaging to a young Richmond team.
The Tigers are rebuilding and have an average age of just 23.9 years, the second-youngest in the AFL, but have played an average of just 53.9 games, the least of any AFL team.
2025 is going to be a learning curve for Richmond and it will start with a hiding from Carlton in Round 1. Charlie Curnow is out but Brodie Kemp will step up and partner Harry McKay in the forward line.
With a 4-goal effort in the absence of Curnow last season, get on Kemp to kick multiple goals and even scale up as high as you brave.
- Carlton beat Richmond by 61 points in their most recent match.
- Richmond had an average losing margin of 41.5 points in 2024.
- Richmond kicked 10 goals or less in 12 of 23 matches in 2024.
- Brodie Kemp kicked 5 goals in the final two games of the 2024 season.
Head to Head
The Blues held on after coming back from a 9-point deficit in the fourth quarter in the corresponding Round 1 match against Richmond last year, beating the Tiger by one score 86 - 81.
The second meeting of 2024 was a different story with Carlton winning by 61 points.
Carlton have won the last 3 matches against the Tigers and 4 of the last 5.
Richmond Tigers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
Richmond picked up just two wins in the 2024 season and it is tough to see them improving on that in 2025 after trading away a couple of classy players in the offseason as a couple of legends retired.
The Tigers are a young core and are focusing on building towards the future in 2025 and likely to do so for a few years to come. Don’t expect much joy to come out from Punt Road in relation to victories, while they look for positives in the smaller more intricate aspects of the game.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-39 | 40+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7-16 | 9-14 | 2-11 | 0-10 |
Richmond Tigers Team News
No. 1 draft pick Sam Lalor has overcome concussion and a broken jaw in the offseason to make his AFL debut. Defender Luke Trainor and key forward Harry Armstrong are also expected to debut.
Midfielder Dion Prestia will start the season on the sidelines looking to overcome an Achilles injury. Top draftee Josh Smillie will also miss selection due to a hamstring injury.
Richmond Tigers Team List
B: N.Broad, B.Miller, N.Vlastuin
HB: T.Brown, J.Blight, J.Short
C: K.McIntosh, J.Hopper, S.Banks
HF: T.Sonsie, J.Bauer, S.Lalor
F: S.Campbell, T.Lynch, R.Mansell
FOLL: T.Nankervis, T.Taranto, J.Ross
I/C: T.Dow, L.Trainor, H.Armstrong, J.Trezise, M.Rioli
EMG: L.Fawcett, S.Ryan, K.McAuliffe
Carlton Blues Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
Despite losing 6 of their final 8 games of the 2024 season, the Blues held on to the final spot in the eight and made a short cameo in September, going down to the eventual premiers 99-71 in the Elimination Final.
Carlton had plenty of momentum heading into the 2024 season after an impressive end to the 2023 where they were knocked out also by Brisbane in the Preliminary Final. Injuries then hit the Blues squad and their depth became very thin.
Carlton are expected to once again be around the eight in 2025 and if they can keep the majority of their best 18 men on the pitch they could possibly be fighting for a top-four finish, especially if 2024 Brownlow Medalist Patrick Cripps continues to make his stamp as the league best player.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-39 | 40+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12-12 | 13-11 | 9-9 | 4-2 |
Carlton Blues Team News
Elijah Hollands has stepped away from the club for an indefinite period to resolve some personal issues before he plays his first game of the 2025 season.
Charlie Curnow will miss the Blues opening match of the season, with the former Coleman medalist recovering from knee surgery. Marc Pittonet will also miss Round 1 with a hip injury with Tom De Koningstarting in the ruck.
Nic Newman (Knee) and Alex Cincotta (Hip) are also out with Ollie Hollands and Lachie Cowan figured to slot in.
Lucas Camporeale will make his AFL debut after an impressive preseason
Carlton Blues Team List
B: A.Saad, J.Weitering, J.Boyd
HB: N.Haynes, M.McGovern, O.Hollands
C: B.Acres, P.Cripps, S.Docherty
HF: G.Hewett, H.McKay, M.Cottrell
F: Z.Williams, B.Kemp, J.Motlop
FOLL: T.De Koning, A.Cerra, S.Walsh
I/C: L.Cowan, J.Silvagni, C.Lord, L.Camporeale, L.Fogarty
EMG: J.Binns, H.Lemmey, M.Carroll
Richmond Tigers vs Carlton Blues AFL 2025 Round 1 FAQ’s
How to watch Richmond Tigers vs Carlton Blues AFL 2025 Round 1?
You can watch the Richmond Tigers vs Carlton Blues AFL 2025 Round 1 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.
How to buy tickets to Richmond Tigers vs Carlton Blues AFL 2025 Round 1?
To buy tickets to the Richmond Tigers vs Carlton Blues AFL 2025 Round 1 game check the AFL website or the official Richmond Tigers site.
Verdict
Brodie Kemp will kick at least 3 goals in the match for Carlton as the Blues hold Richmond under 9.5 goals in the match as they cover the monster 50.5- point line in Round 1.
Carlton - 49.5
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Richmond Under 9.5
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Brodie Kemp
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Brodie Kemp
3+ Goals
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