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Newcastle Knights vs Dolphins NRL Tips - Knights to ride to victory over Dolphins
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- Newcastle Knights vs Dolphins expert predictions for Thursday’s Round 2 NRL game
- Kick off is at 8:00 PM (AEDT) at McDonald Jones Stadium
- Newcastle Knights likely to defeat Dolphins, extending their win streak to 4.
- Knights boast a strong home advantage with solid defense, allowing just 18.8 pts on average.
- Betting tips: Knights win by 1-12 margin; consider Dolphins team total under; Greg Marzhew as tryscorer.
NRL Expert Ryan gives his tips for Newcaslte vs Dolphins
Newcastle Knights vs Dolphins, Round 2 2025 - Expert Prediction
The Knights are tipped to extend their winning streak over the Dolphins to 4 in a row with a victory in their home opener on Thursday night.
Newcastle are a strong team at home having won 17 of their last 25 games played at McDonald Jones Stadium dating back to the start of the 2023 season. Their defence is one of the strongest in the league, allowing just 18.8 pts to opponents over that same stretch of games.
The Dolphins have lost 6 straight games away from home but do get back some of the players that missed last weekend’s trip to Sydney. They are also a strong Thursday night team having won 4 of 5 games played on a Thursday since joining the league in 2023.
The record though between these teams speaks for itself. The Knights are a more dominant defensive team while the Dolphins can easily leak points. The style of play which Newcastle employ with their powering runs up the guts and along the edges will put immense pressure on the Dolphins defence leaving them fatigued in attack against a strong opponent.
Take the Knights to win with a 1-12 margin as has been the case in the last 3 games between these two teams. If you are looking at totals the Dolphins team total Under is the best bet while Greg Marzhew is the top tryscorer pick.
- 63% of games for both of these teams last season finished with 1-12 winning margins.
- The Dolphins scored just 14 and 6 pts in their two games last season against the Knights.
- Newcastle average just 18.8 pts to opponents at home over the past 2 seasons.
- The Dolphins allowed 40% of opposition tries down their right side last season as well as 2 of 3 last weekend against Souths.
Head to Head
These two teams have played 4 times in the two seasons the Dolphins have been in the NRL with Newcastle owning their opponents with a 3-1 record.
Both games last season were won by Newcastle in low scoring efforts going Under the Game total on both occasions. 3 of the last 4 games have been decided by 8 pts or less.
Newcastle Knights Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Newcastle got away with a scrappy win over the Wests Tigers last weekend 10-8 away from home. Things did not start well for the visiting team, allowing their opponent to score a try in the 8th minute. But it was the only time during the match that their tryline was penetrated with the Tigers not getting another 4 pointer despite 23 tackles inside 20m in the game.
The Knights amassed an incredible number of tackle busts in the game at 68 off just 166 runs. They also had 7 linebreaks and 29 tackles in their opposition 20m zone but came away with just the 10 points themselves. Once again their creativity and attack being stunted close to the line.
8 players from the Knights made over 100 metres running including the back 5 and Fletcher Sharpe at five-eighth.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
Newcastle Knights Team News
The only change for the Knights this week is the addition of Adam Elliott to the bench in place of Brodie Jones who moves to 18th man.
Fletcher Sharpe and Jack Cogger keep their spots in the halves despite a below average game in round 1.
Newcastle Knights Team List
1. Kalyn Ponga
2. James Schiller
3. Dane Gagai
4. Bradman Best
5. Greg Marzhew
6. Fletcher Sharpe
7. Jack Cogger
8. Jacob Saifiti
9. Phoenix Crossland
10. Leo Thompson
11. Dylan Lucas
12. Kai Pearce-Paul
13. Tyson Frizell
Interchange
14. Jayden Brailey
15. Jack Hetherington
16. Adam Elliott
17. Mathew Croker
Reserves
18. Brodie Jones
19. Will Pryce
20. Logan Aoake
21. Matthew Arthur
22. Thomas Cant
Dolphins Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
There wasn’t much that separated the Dolphins from their opponent South Sydney last weekend in their 16-14 loss. Despite a disrupted preparation the Dolphins racked up a whopping 1774 run metres including 4 linebreaks and 36 tacklebusts in the game.
The Dolphins owned 67% of the territory in the matchup but earned just 24 tackles inside the Bunnies 20m zone during play. Daniel Saifiti had 143 run metres and 18 tackles while Jeremy Marshall King topped the tackle count with 52.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Dolphins Team News
Jack Bostock has been unable to recover from injury in time to take his spot in the side with Junior Tupou once again named on the wing.
Kodi Nikorima returns at five-eighth after sitting out the away trip last weekend, Mark Nicholls and Kenny Bromwich likewise but Bromwich has been named in the reserves.
Oryn Keeley has been promoted to the starting side with Kulikefu Finefeuiaki out with HIA and Connelly Lemuelu fracturing his eye socket last weekend.
Dolphins Team List
1. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow
2. Jamayne Isaako
3. Jake Averillo
4. Herbie Farnworth
5. Junior Tupou
6. Kodi Nikorima
7. Isaiya Katoa
8. Daniel Saifiti
9. Jeremy Marshall-King
10. Felise Kaufusi
11. Oryn Keeley
12. Max Plath
13. Tom Gilbert
Interchange
14. Kurt Donoghoe
15. Josh Kerr
16. Mark Nicholls
17. Ray Stone
Reserves
18. Sean O'Sullivan
19. Max Feagai
20. Kenny Bromwich
21. Harrison Graham
22. Aublix Tawha
Newcastle Knights vs Dolphins NRL 2025 Round 2 FAQ’s
How to watch Newcastle Knights vs Dolphins NRL 2025 Round 2?
You can watch the Newcastle Knights vs Dolphins NRL 2025 Round 2 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.
How to buy tickets to Newcastle Knights vs Dolphins NRL 2025 Round 2?
To buy tickets to the Newcastle Knights vs Dolphins NRL 2025 Round 2 game check the NRL website or the official Newcastle Knights site.
Verdict
Take the Knights to win with a 1-12 margin as has been the case in the last 3 games between these two teams. If you are looking at totals the Dolphins team total Under is the best bet while Greg Marzhew is the top tryscorer pick.
Knights 1-12
Winning Margin
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Dolphins Under 19.5
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