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Ben Shelton vs Lorenzo Sonego Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Shelton backed to reach second Grand Slam semi-final

andrew-hendrie
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Last updated: 21 Jan 2025
Andrew Hendrie 21 Jan 2025
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  • Ben Shelton vs Lorenzo Sonego predictions for Wednesday's Australian Open QF match
  • Both players have won a set in their two previous meetings (H2H 1-1)
  • Both players have seen a 1st set tiebreak in two of their four matches this tournament
  • Shelton's last two completed wins have been in four sets
  • Sonego has gone four sets in three of his four matches this tournament
  • The match is scheduled to start around 3.00pm AEDT on Wednesday January 22
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Ben Shelton
Ben Shelton (Photo by Getty Images)


Ben Shelton vs Lorenzo Sonego Tips, Prediction & Live Stream


An unexpected Australian Open quarter-final awaits on Wednesday afternoon as Ben Shelton takes on the unseeded Lorenzo Sonego.

  • Ben Shelton vs Lorenzo Sonego Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
  • Head To Head
  • Ben Shelton Form
  • Lorenzo Sonego Form
  • Live Stream
Shelton has a proven ability to raise his level on the big stage and the young American is expected to overcome Sonego, who is competing in his maiden Grand Slam quarter-final. Sonego has put together a career-best major tournament, but he's lost 23 of his last 28 matches against top 20 players, so it would be a shock if he was able to improve that record in the pressure-cooker environment of a major quarter-final. Both players have seen a first-set tiebreak in two of their four matches so far this tournament, so there's some value to be found there, but ultimately Shelton is backed to emerge victorious and reach a maiden Australian Open semi-final.

Head To Head


Shelton won their first meeting at Cincinnati 2022 in three sets (winning the first set in a tiebreak), while Sonego got some revenge at the 2023 French Open, prevailing in three sets.

Ben Shelton Form


Despite being one of the hottest young prospects in the game and having already made a Grand Slam semi-final, Shelton has somewhat flown under the radar so far in Melbourne.

Perhaps it was the exploits of Next Gen stars Joao Fonseca and Learner Tien that overshadowed Shelton's progress through the draw, but nevertheless, the American is back into the Australian Open quarter-finals after making it this far on his debut back in 2023.

After beating compatriot Brandon Nakashima in straight sets in the opening round, Shelton has dropped sets in his last three matches, beating Pablo Carreno Busta and Lorenzo Musetti in four sets.

Shelton was leading veteran Gael Monfils by two-sets-to-one in the fourth round when his 38-year-old opponent was forced to retire due to fatigue.

Lorenzo Sonego Form


Sonego has become something of a Next Gen slayer this Australian Open, compiling an eye-catching run to a maiden Grand Slam quarter-final.

The talent has always been there for Sonego, but he's one of the most inconsistent players on tour and that's restricted him from making deep runs at the majors throughout his career.

However, Sonego relished the opportunity to take down the hype of young guns Fonseca and Tien, defeating the former in a five-set thriller and taking out the latter in four sets in the R16.

Sonego also took out former Australian Open champion Stan Wawrinka in four sets in the opening round, along with the dangerous Fabian Marozsan in the third round (also in four sets).

The Italian has another opportunity to conquer a rising star of the sport, but Sonego has only won five of his last 28 matches against top 20 opponents.

Live Stream


Watch and bet on Ben Shelton vs Lorenzo Sonego live Australian Open tennis.

You can watch and bet on the match live at bet365 > Tennis > Australian Open with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.

Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.

Verdict

Sonego has enjoyed a dream tournament and deserves his spot in the quarter-finals, but tough to see him going any further.

The Italian has won just five of his last 28 matches vs top 20 players, with three of his four opponents this tournament ranked outside the top 100.

Shelton is a big-game player and loves the spotlight - he won't be overawed and is backed to come out on top. However, both previous meetings have been relatively tight and these two aren't immune to a tiebreak either.

Best Bet1: Shelton Win 1st Set & Match $1.78 at dabble - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Yes Tiebreak in 1st Set $2.75 at dabble - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Shelton 3-1 Set Betting $3.55 at Elitebet - 1 Unit
Shelton
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Yes
Tiebreak in 1st Set
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Betting Slip | 22 Jan 2025

Ben Shelton v Lorenzo Sonego