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Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaur Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Demon's best chance yet to push Sinner

Andrew Hendrie

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Last updated: 22 Jan 2025

Andrew Hendrie 22 Jan 2025

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Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaur predictions for Wednesday's Australian Open QF match
Sinner looks under the weather; has dropped a set vs Schoolkate & Rune
De Minaur is 6-0 in 2025, dropping just one set all year
The match is scheduled to start at 7.30pm AEDT on Wednesday January 22

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Alex De Minaur (Photo by Getty Images)

Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaur Tips, Prediction & Live Stream

Alex de Minaur plays the biggest match of his career on Wednesday night when he comes up against World No. 1 Jannik Sinner in the Australian Open quarter-finals.

Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaur Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Head To Head
Jannik Sinner Form
Alex de Minaur Form
Live Stream

De Minaur has a notoriously horrendous record against Sinner, losing all nine previous meetings and the last 17 consecutive sets. It's obviously a nightmare matchup for the Aussie. However, if there's any time for de Minaur to snap that sequence, it's now. Sinner has appeared vulnerable and less than 100 per cent fit at stages throughout this tournament, dropping sets to Tristan Schoolkate and Holger Rune, looking physically ill and shaking in the latter. In fact, there's unconfirmed reports circling that Sinner is dealing with a bout of pneumonia.

De Minaur has dropped just one set for the tournament and has taken his game to another level over the last 12 months, establishing himself as a genuine top 10 player and reaching the quarter-finals of four consecutive Grand Slam tournaments. I'm backing Demon to push this Over 34.5 total games and at the very least win a set - and there's definitely value on the Aussie digging out a first-ever win over Sinner in a marathon encounter.

Head To Head

As mentioned, Sinner leads 9-0, winning the last 17 straight sets - including three meetings in 2024 in Rotterdam, the ATP Finals and Davis Cup.

Jannik Sinner Form

Of course, Sinner put together an extraordinary 2024 season, winning his first two Grand Slams at the Australian Open and US Open, along with taking out the year-end ATP Finals and securing Masters 1000 crowns in Miami, Cincinnati and Shanghai, compiling an incredible 73-6 record and finishing the year as World No. 1.

Now comes the hard part for Sinner - and that's backing everything up, while he also has to deal with the ongoing threat of a suspension due to his failed doping tests from last year.

The 23-year-old certainly isn't in ideal condition right now at the Australian Open. Sinner was fortunate not to drop a set in two tiebreaks in his opening round against Nicolas Jarry, while he did lose one set each against Aussie wildcard Tristan Schoolkate and Holger Rune in the fourth round.

Sinner was shaking and was visibly under the weather in that four-set victory over Rune and it remains to be seen how he has recovered for this encounter.

Alex de Minaur Form

It's been an excellent last 12 months for de Minaur, with the Aussie taking his game to the next level and cementing himself as a top 10 player, hitting a career-high of No. 6 in the world after making the quarter-finals of Roland Garros, Wimbledon and the US Open last year.

Not even a serious hip injury could put a dampener on de Minaur's 2024 campaign, with the 25-year-old qualifying for the season-ending ATP Finals for the first time.

Declaring his 'legs are back', de Minaur is now targeting his deepest run at a slam yet after making his maiden Australian Open quarter-final.

De Minaur has dropped just one set in victories over Botic Van De Zandschulp, Tristan Boyer, Francisco Cerundolo and Alex Michelsen, with his R16 win over the rising American in straight sets an extremely impressive performance.

Live Stream

Watch and bet on Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaur live Australian Open tennis.

You can watch and bet on the match live at bet365 > Tennis > Australian Open with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.

Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.

Verdict

Jannik Sinner v Alex De Minaur

As mentioned, this is de Minaur's best chance yet to beat Sinner for the first time and reach a maiden major semi-final.

Sinner has been below his best all tournament and is clearly battling some sort of physical ailment - whether it's pneumonia or not.

I think de Minaur pushes this clash Over 34.5 total games and the Aussie is worth a small stake to prevail in four or five sets at $11 for each.

De Minaur

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